System and method for forecasting snowfall probability distributions
US10838109B2 · kind B2 · utility
Assignee
Inventors
Key dates
| Filing date | Mar 30, 2018 |
| Grant date | Nov 17, 2020 |
| Priority date | — |
| Expiry date | Feb 23, 2039 |
Classification
- Technology area (CPC Y)Emerging Cross-Sectional Technologies
- CPC primaryY02A90/10
- WIPO fieldMeasurement
- WIPO sectorInstruments
Abstract
Currently available weather forecasts, which include a specific snowfall accumulation or range, do not convey the probability that snowfall will be within the forecasted snowfall accumulation range, probabilities of other snowfall accumulation amounts, or a forecaster's level of confidence. A snowfall probability distribution forecasting system is disclosed that uses a rules-based process to leverage third party weather forecasts, including members of ensemble forecasts, to generate snowfall probability distributions forecasting the most likely snowfall accumulation range, the probability that snowfall accumulation will be within the most likely snowfall accumulation range, and probabilities that snowfall accumulation will be outside of the most likely snowfall accumulation range. To ensure consistency with the deterministic forecast, the snowfall probability distribution may be shifted based on a deterministic forecast. Because third party weather forecasts can produce a non-normal distribution of snowfall accumulation forecasts, the snowfall probability distribution may be normalized.
Source: USPTO / EPO open patent data. Objective bibliographic and citation counts.