Patent · US Active

Systems and methods for forecasting time series with variable seasonality

US11138090B2 · kind B2 · utility

0Cited by
61References
20Claims
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Key dates

Filing dateOct 23, 2018
Grant dateOct 5, 2021
Priority date
Expiry dateFeb 29, 2040

Classification

  • Technology area (CPC G)Physics
  • CPC primaryG06F2201/835
  • WIPO fieldComputer technology
  • WIPO sectorElectrical engineering

Abstract

Techniques for training and evaluating seasonal forecasting models are disclosed. In some embodiments, a network service generates, in memory, a set of data structures that separate sample values by season type and season space. The set of data structures may include a first set of clusters corresponding to different season types in the first season space and a second set of clusters corresponding to different season types in the second season space. The network service merges two or more clusters the first set and/or second set of clusters. Clusters from the first set are not merged with clusters from the second set. After merging the clusters, the network service determines a trend pattern for each of the remaining clusters in the first and second set of clusters. The network service then generates a forecast for a metric of a computing resource based on the trend patterns for each remaining cluster.

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