Patent · US Active

End of period metric projection with intra-period alerts

US11205111B2 · kind B2 · utility

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20Claims
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Key dates

Filing dateMay 31, 2017
Grant dateDec 21, 2021
Priority date
Expiry dateJun 5, 2040

Classification

  • Technology area (CPC G)Physics
  • CPC primaryG06F8/70
  • WIPO fieldComputer technology
  • WIPO sectorElectrical engineering

Abstract

Techniques of forecasting web metrics involve generating, prior to the end of a period of time, a probability of a metric taking on an anomalous value, e.g., a value indicative of an anomaly with respect to web traffic, at the end of the period based on previous values of the metric. Such a probability is based on a distribution of predicted values of the metric at some previous period of time. For example, a web server may use actual values of the number of bounces collected at hourly intervals in the middle of a day to predict a number of bounces at the end of the current day. Further, the web server may also compute a confidence interval to determine whether a predicted end-of-day number of bounces may be considered anomalous. The width of the confidence interval indicates the probability that a predicted end-of-day number of bounces has an anomalous value.

Source: USPTO / EPO open patent data. Objective bibliographic and citation counts.