System and method for enhanced collaborative forecasting
US11941239B2 · kind B2 · utility
Assignee
Inventors
Key dates
| Filing date | May 13, 2022 |
| Grant date | Mar 26, 2024 |
| Priority date | — |
| Expiry date | Jul 22, 2042 |
Classification
- Technology area (CPC G)Physics
- CPC primaryG01V13/00
- WIPO fieldCivil engineering
- WIPO sectorOther fields
Abstract
Systems and methods for amplifying the collective intelligence of networked human groups engaged in collaborative forecasting of future events having two possible outcomes. During a real-time session a computing device for each user displays a forecasting prompt and a dynamic user interface which includes a user-manipulatable marker moved by the user between a first limit and a second limit, where the position of the marker defines a forecasted probability of each possible outcome. The display also includes a first reward value and a second reward value, both of which are interactively responsive to the marker position. During a first time period, users manipulate the markers. After the first time period, a perturbation stimulus is displayed. During a second time period, users again manipulate the markers. After the second time period, a final group forecast is calculated based on the data collected during the first and second time periods.
Source: USPTO / EPO open patent data. Objective bibliographic and citation counts.