Patent · US Active

Systems and methods enabling baseline prediction correction

US12020789B1 · kind B1 · utility

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15References
20Claims
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Key dates

Filing dateJun 23, 2023
Grant dateJun 25, 2024
Priority date
Expiry dateJun 23, 2043

Classification

  • Technology area (CPC G)Physics
  • CPC primaryG06N3/02
  • WIPO fieldMedical technology
  • WIPO sectorInstruments

Abstract

Systems and techniques for time-series forecasting are illustrated. One embodiment includes a method for refining time-series forecasts, the method obtains timestep information including baseline information, a time gap, and context information. The baseline information includes information known about the system at a time when the multivariate time-series is generated. The context information includes at least one vector of time-independent background variables related to the system. The method determines, based on the timestep information, parameter predictions for the system at a first timestep and a second timestep. The method derives actual state values for the system at the first timestep. The method updates the parameter predictions for the system at the second timestep, using a gating function, based on a discrepancy between: the parameter predictions for the system at the first timestep, and the actual state values for the system at the first timestep.

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