Patent · US Active

Systems and methods for probabilistic parts forecasting based on machine utilization patterns

US12039554B2 · kind B2 · utility

0Cited by
5References
17Claims
0Family size

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Key dates

Filing dateMar 31, 2021
Grant dateJul 16, 2024
Priority date
Expiry dateJun 18, 2042

Classification

  • Technology area (CPC G)Physics
  • CPC primaryG06Q30/0205
  • WIPO fieldIT methods for management
  • WIPO sectorElectrical engineering

Abstract

A method for forecasting part sales, including collecting sales data for a part over a series of sales time periods and collecting activity data for a plurality of activity types over a series of activity time periods for a plurality of machines including the part. A mean activity time can be calculated for each activity type for each time period in the series of activity time periods based on the collected activity data. An activity probability density function of the mean activity times for each activity type is created and a machine learning model is trained using an expectation of activity derived from the probability density functions for each activity type and the collected sales data. Machine activity data for a set of machines can be fed into the trained model to derive a part sales probability density function for the set of machines.

Source: USPTO / EPO open patent data. Objective bibliographic and citation counts.