Systems and methods for curating an optimized population of networked forecasting participants from a baseline population
US12099936B2 · kind B2 · utility
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Key dates
| Filing date | Feb 27, 2023 |
| Grant date | Sep 24, 2024 |
| Priority date | — |
| Expiry date | Apr 22, 2043 |
Classification
- Technology area (CPC G)Physics
- CPC primaryG06N20/10
- WIPO fieldComputer technology
- WIPO sectorElectrical engineering
Abstract
System and method for amplifying the accuracy of forecasts generated by software systems that harness the collective intelligence of human populations by curating optimized sub-populations through an intelligent selection process. Participants predict event outcomes and/or provide evaluations of their confidence in their predictions. The system determines a score wherein the alignment score indicates how well that participant's prediction aligns with the predictions given by the baseline population. Participants can then be selected from the population based on the participant alignment scores.
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