Patent · US Active

Machine-learned state space model for joint forecasting

US12217144B2 · kind B2 · utility

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20Claims
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Key dates

Filing dateAug 31, 2020
Grant dateFeb 4, 2025
Priority date
Expiry dateDec 7, 2043

Classification

  • Technology area (CPC G)Physics
  • CPC primaryG06N3/044
  • WIPO fieldComputer technology
  • WIPO sectorElectrical engineering

Abstract

A deep state space generative model is augmented with intervention prediction. The state space model provides a principled way to capture the interactions among observations, interventions, critical event occurrences, true states, and associated uncertainty. The state space model can include a discrete-time hazard rate model that provides flexible fitting of general survival time distributions. The state space model can output a joint prediction of event risk, observation and intervention trajectories based on patterns in temporal progressions, and correlations between past measurements and interventions.

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