Behavior and information model to yield more accurate probability of successful outcome
US8996426B2 · kind B2 · utility
Assignee
Inventors
Key dates
| Filing date | Mar 2, 2011 |
| Grant date | Mar 31, 2015 |
| Priority date | — |
| Expiry date | Dec 6, 2031 |
Classification
- Technology area (CPC G)Physics
- CPC primaryG06N7/01
- WIPO fieldComputer technology
- WIPO sectorElectrical engineering
Abstract
A report indicating a user-reported probability of a successful outcome is received. A behavior and information model is estimated based on the report. The behavior and information model includes a behavior model component having a bias parameter and a consistency parameter. The behavior and information model includes an information model component having a first user-believed probability of a successful outcome and a second user-believed probability of a successful outcome. The behavior and information model is used to yield a model-determined probability of a successful outcome that more accurately reflects a probability of a successful outcome than the user-reported probability of a successful outcome does.
Source: USPTO / EPO open patent data. Objective bibliographic and citation counts.