Predicting likelihood of on-time product delivery, diagnosing issues that threaten delivery, and exploration of likely outcome of different solutions

US9251484B2 · kind B2 · utility

Assignee

• International Business Machines Corporation · US

Inventors

• Murray R. Cantor · Westwood, US
• Evelyn Duesterwald · Millwood, US
• Tamir Klinger · Brooklyn, US
• Peter K. Malkin · Yorktown Heights, US
• Paul M. Matchen · Bethel, US
• Dharmashankar Subramanian · White Plains, US
• Stanley M. Sutton · Briarcliff Manor, US
• Peri L. Tarr · Briarcliff Manor, US
• Mark N. Wegman · Campion Road, US

Key dates

• Filing date: May 31, 2013
• Grant date: Feb 2, 2016
• Expiry date: Dec 26, 2034

Classification

• Technology area (CPC G): Physics
• CPC primary: G06Q10/0635
• WIPO field: IT methods for management
• WIPO sector: Electrical engineering

Abstract

A task effort estimator may determine a probability distribution of an estimated effort needed to complete unfinished tasks in a project based on one or more of a set of completed tasks belonging to a project and attributes associated with the completed tasks belonging to the project, a set of completed tasks not belonging to the project and attributes associated with the completed tasks not belonging to the project, or the combination of both. A project completion predictor may determine a probability distribution of completion time for the project based on the probability distribution of an estimated effort needed to complete the unfinished tasks in the project, and one or more resource and scheduling constraints associated with the project.