System and method for predicting significant events using a progress curve model
US9613309B1 · kind B1 · utility
3Cited by
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18Claims
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Key dates
| Filing date | Mar 12, 2014 |
| Grant date | Apr 4, 2017 |
| Priority date | — |
| Expiry date | Jun 21, 2035 |
Classification
- Technology area (CPC G)Physics
- CPC primaryG06Q40/06
- WIPO fieldIT methods for management
- WIPO sectorElectrical engineering
Abstract
Described is system for predicting significant events using a progress curve model. The system first determines Z-score values for a predetermined period of a time series to generate a Z-score time series. The Z-score time series are partitioned into a plurality of E-periods to define time frames for progress curve model (PCM) fitting. An E-period is defined as a period of escalation and de-escalation. Finally, a future event is predicted based on an absolute Z-score value that is greater than or equal to a predetermined number.
Source: USPTO / EPO open patent data. Objective bibliographic and citation counts.